Originally Posted by Absalom

And then we can set up a bet on how long it will take for a match to actually happen

I think the idea is great, but I’m doubtful about its efficacy.

Statistics and probability calculations are cruel. But the total number of collectors interested enough to care about serial matches and the guns they own make up at best a few percent of the total number of S&W revolvers ever produced.

Take the Victory. Over 800,000 V-prefix guns produced, and I believe even our most dedicated long-time database collectors have no more than maybe a few thousand; we’d need to check with Charlie Flick, but I’d be surprised if we had a record of the 8,000 specimen necessary to make up just ONE percent.

No clue about other models, but you get the idea. I don’t mean to quench anyone’s enthusiasm, but one shouldn’t expect too much.