Cal...I agree with you but from what I observed in the 30 years I was in LE and studying gunfights since 1980, there is a combination of factors involved.

If 1200 fps caused as much HS as generally necessary, the 9mm would be be right up there with the .357. From what I have observed it is 1400+ fps impact velocity where HS effectiveness get much more reliable.

That said, caliber, sectional density, nose design and expansion qualities play a big factor.

The .357 Magnum works best on humans with a 125 gr. JHP. The SD of that bullet is .139. To equal it:
.40/ 155
.410/ 170
.429/ 180
.452/ 200

The .357 delivers 544 fps of energy most of which is delivered to the target if the HP does its job. For the others to put that general amount on target:

.40/ 1250
.41/ 1200
.429/ 1175
.452/1120

There are of course a bizillion things that can go wrong but for me those are the minimums if you want the same effectiveness as a .357..

...but of course my opinion is worth what you paid for it...

Bob