What do you think?

Boox

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Recnetly had this exchange with the good people at alliant regarding powder. I'm curious as to your thoughts, are his answers real?

first, my question to them...
To: Alliant Reloading
Subject: Alliant Powder - Ask the Expert Form


Mark Bookman

Since I'm having NO LUCK finding Bullseye within 100 miles, I'm asking you guys, Where is the Powder. I have not seen any Bullseye in almost a year. Don't tell me you are at full production, selling it as fast as you can, because that is preposterous, if that is the case, it should be available somewhere, it's not available at all, where is it going?
Inquiring mind wants to know.

Alliant's response...


Alliant Reloading

Jun 13
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to me
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Mark,

It is indeed a highly frustrating time for a reloader.

Alliant Powder has NOT been bought out by anti-gunners. Alliant used to be Herco and has been going since the late 1800's. Much to the conspiracy theorists, there is nothing going on as far as the government limiting our production. All that is is fodder for the internet to enrage folks. Nothing more.
We are producing more powder today than we ever have. We are running the facilities 24/7 and as I said, making more of it than ever before.

There are several things happening today.

One is the "scalpers". These are the folks, waiting for the trucks to be unloaded at the stores and pulling the powder out of the hands of the shelf stockers in the stores. Talk to the people in the stores and they will tell you that the same people are there every day/week at the same times. They know when the supplies are delivered. They are then buying as much as the store will allow, because many of the stores are putting an allotment for purchases. Then these guys are having family and friends purchase more product. The next weekend you will find these powders they have purchased at the gun shows and selling it at 2 - 3 - 4 times what they paid for it. This is a common theme.

Along these lines you have the hoarders. People are going out and purchasing more ammunition than they can possibly use in four lifetimes. Powder will also fall into this category. I have talked to folks and posed the question to them that five years ago, if you saw powder on the shelf, how much would you have purchased. Most of the time the answer was one maybe to containers. Then I asked them, so today, how many would you purchase and the answer is that they would fill the shopping cart up.

Another fact is that every day I am answering questions from reloaders that have pulled out their presses that they have had in storage for the last 15 - 20 - 30, or more, years and starting to reload again. It is not just one or two of these questions we are receiving a day, but many.

Finally there are the OEM's. OEM's fall into two categories. There are the big boys, such as Remington, CCI/Speer, Hornady, and Winchester are sucking up powder and powder resources like a fiend. Then there are the remanufacture ammunition companies. Near where I live I can think of half a dozen remanufacture companies that have sprouted up over the last several years. Both of these OEM's are trying to fill the shelves with ammunition in our stores. This is the biggest drain on the powder resources.

We use a two tiered distribution system for delivering the powders. The powder is shipped to a distributor. From there, the powder is sent off to dealers, wholesalers and retail outlets. Once the powder is sent to the distributor, we have no control as to where the powder may end up. Having worked in retail in the past, and going through such shortages, we ordered supplies from many different distributors. These distributors may have been 100 miles away, or they may have been across the country. In other words we were not putting all of our eggs in one basket when it came to ordering. The last small firearms store I worked out told me during the primer shortage a few years back, "If all of my primer orders/backorders come in tomorrow, I'm bankrupt". Once the orders started to appear, backorders were cancelled quickly. Yes, there are problems at times with the two tier distribution system, especially at times like this, but it is the best system we have.

Recently, I have had success finding powders at the smaller mom and pop stores. Yes, I have to purchase my powders from the same place you do as we have been told that the employees will be the last customer served. One of the reasons I believe the smaller stores may be more successful is for the following reason. The big stores are just auto-generating their orders. The computer is ordering for them. The mom and pop stores are putting in the time searching the distributors and seeing what is available every day and making orders immediately. I guess what I am saying is don't overlook the smaller mom and pop stores.

So if we can get the "scalpers" to halt their actions, get ammunition supplies back on the shelf and stop the hoarders from purchasing 4 lifetimes supplies of ammunition and powders, things should start to look up.

And things are starting to show sign of easing. We have seen several factors showing this. Gun sales have dropped. Primer orders are slowing. We are seeing more ammunition on the shelves today than we were six to eight months ago. Finally, as I said, having worked in retail in the past, these kind of shortages lasted a year to a year and a half. We are into this just over a year. All of these facts lead some of us to believe that things may start to be easing by mid to late summer. On that hand though, don't hold me to this. All it will take is someone stepping into another school or movie theater and performing another hideous act. If that happens, we fear it will start all over again.

If you want to read another take on what is happening, not just mine, take a look at Sierra Bullets - The Bulletsmiths . Sierra Bullets does not make ammunition or powder, but, the vice president of that company wrote an excellent article on the shortage of ammunition. It is on the rotating screen of their front page explaining the 22 ammuntion shortage. Many of the same issues with the 22 shortage could also be applied to the powder shortages.

I know all of the above does not make it any easier to take but, that is pretty much what is going on.

Thanks,
Shoot Straight
DuaneVB
CCI/SPEER/ALLIANT POWDER



My response to his message...


AIbEiAIAAABECIeHuomvnbbL-wEiC3ZjYXJkX3Bob3RvKigwNTZkZjU2NTNlNTk3ZDBkY2NmYjNiYTZlY2NhYWE0NzkzMGMwMDhiMAG2y1p4HfnB1fWJPA9pi7bq3Q3vXg


Mb <[email protected]>

Jun 13
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to Alliant
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OK Duane, that's your story. Now, I live in the remote area also known as the real UPSTATE NY. I get up and look at Canada while I have my morning coffee. Within a 100 mile radius of my location, over the last eight months, NO ONE has had any Bullseye. The closest I can get to Bullseye was Hodgdon CFE Pistol and it sucks. It has also disappeared. Now there are only 7 gun stores that offer any powder in my area, within 100 miles. One is Gander mountain. The rest are small owner operated stores, mom and pops if you will, and I find it unusual that NONE of them can even get Bullseye. I have been searching the internet suppliers for the last 6 months, and THEY can't get Bullseye. So, while I understand the logic of your response it seems as though it's all BS. I could understand if one or two couldn't get it, but all of them? I have backorders with 6 different internet sellers, I'm sure you can check them, these backorders are 4 to 6 months old and I'm willing to bite the bullet and pay the hazmat fee, IF I could get it. I'm pretty sure the little guys I deal with aren't BSing me, I've done business with them all over the years and know 3 of the owners personally, they claim their distributors are saying they can't get it. So who's telling the real truth? So it would appear that Hoarders, Scalpers and the like also can't get it because i go to every gun show around and there's almost no powder unless you want Pyrodex.. Need a better excuse.


nice talking to ya

mark

BTW, there was no response to this message...So, what do you think? Are the scalpers and hoarders beasting the distributors to the punch?

All opinions are welcome

Boox


 
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I believe what he said because our Walmart has the same people every morning buying the 22LR ammo as soon as they put it out and then they go home and put on GB at 3 and 4 times the price they paid for it and it has become a cottage industry for these people who are retired or out of work to supplement their income. The manager of the Sporting goods department is very upset by this but he says his hands are tied. he said what they are doing doesn't violate store policy so other then limiting the amount they can purchase there is nothing he can do.
 
My opinion is that both of your e-mails are accusatory, antagonistic, and discourteous. Duane from Alliant deserves credit for being both civil and polite in his response. There is no reason why he should have responded to your second e-mail.

I've been in business in some form or the other for 47 years. There is absolutely no reason why anyone from the manufacturer, to the distributor, through the wholesaler and retailer would not sell product if they had it for sale. That's how they pay their own bills at the end of the day.

By the way, you have the chain of distribution wrong. The scalpers and hoarders are at the bottom of the chain, right before the handloading customer that buys powder one can at a time.

As you appear to know more that the people at Allant and elsewhere in the industry, where do you think the powder is going?
 
Several months ago I sent nearly the same e-mail to both Alliant and Hodgdon. I got the same BS answer.

I can't believe they blame their customers for the powder shortage. That's ridiculous.

All the excuses listed in that e-mail are pure speculation.

There is something going on that we don't know about, but everyone is afraid to question it for fear of being labeled a "conspiracy kook".

Why would Alliant use their "limited" resources to introduce brand new untested powders like BE-86 and 300 MP, when their best selling standbys like Unique and 2400 are in such short supply? From a business stand point, that doesn't make any sense. People who run companies get fired for stunts like that everyday.

Reloaders are being lied to.
 
I agree with MichiganScott. I wouldn't answer your last message either. You're frustrated like everyone else and beating up on somebody who tells you clearly he is in the same boat as you are is simply sad. Calm down, take a deep breath and just keep trying. Not every person in the business is a liar you know?

I've been able to buy lots of the pistol and rifle powders I use (not Bullseye - don't use it) all through this fiasco simply by looking every day and buying the instant it was available (if I was fast enough). I was able to consolidate all my powder needs to 7 types. Keep at it, use honey instead of vinegar and good luck! :)
 
I agree with Alliant. I was at Bass Pro a while back and talked with a guy who was looking for powder tor "try" in his .30-06. I suggested a couple and he ended up buying eight 1-pound cans of IMR 4350 just to try out and see if it worked. A one pound can is more than ample to work up a load with a new powder.

I don't shoot a great deal any longer, but back when I did I never bought more than a one-pound can. I could always get more if needed. These days, not so much. Greed works . . . too well.
 
Primers were the same way last year. If you think Duane is lying, check out Gunbroker, and check out the scalping. I have a guy local to me trying to sell some Bullseye for a mere $50/lbs. I saw someone on Gunbroker list an open 8lb jug of Winchester 231, that was "guaranteed" to have 1lb of powder left in it for $75--that's before haz-mat and shipping. Duane is telling the truth, since you live in NY, maybe you know someone in OH, or would want to take a vacation this summer in Ohio--as I have seen other members post new-stock Bullseye powder that they purchased from Fin Feather and Fur.

Kittery Trading Post, which is somewhat local to me had 5lbs. of Bullseye show up a couple weekends ago--they wouldn't let me prebuy it over the phone before making the 90 minute drive there. It sold out in the first hour they were open. I've had a 8lb jug of W231 on backorder since March 17th--and have yet to see any Mom & Pops get any or Gunbot list any. This also applies to Hodgdon HP-38. Managed to snag 8lbs of Accurate #5 recently, but the onine vendor I got it from Sold-Out of it in about 5 minutes. 8lbs would last me a long time, however, I have a father-in-law and brother-in-law that also reload and are short on powder too--so they will probably get a couple pounds for what I paid for it.
 
There's a store in Longview, Washington, that I check on a regular basis. I have found Bullseye, Red Dot, and Unique there fairly recently. Also, they always have plenty of H-110 and IMR 4227. It is out there.
 
A little while ago I had a discussion at a wedding with the employee of a store that was buying all .22 ammo for himself as soon as it came in, then selling it elsewhere. .22 is actually being used as currency for other products in gun stores.

I have seen pistol powders at a retail store recently. They were priced $50 - $75 per pound. I passed.

One of the real complications here is that it is very expensive for the manufacturers to increase capacity. They are unwilling to make this investment when they believe the problem is temporary.

Believe what you will. My opinion is that the responses in the e-mail were sincere.

Chubbs
 
Duane is telling the truth.I rarely see powder or 22s at the stores here,but there's plenty at the gun shows.As long as the demand is at a panic level,it will be profitable for these guys to pay retail and mark it up as much as they can.If all the desperate buyers would just calm down and go fishing,play golf or even read a book the problem would resolve itself quickly.
 
Wow, I wouldn't even have given such a complete and lengthy answer to the first query.

The answer was very clear and reasonable. I live in a small town and have seen and experienced the "panic and hoarding" type buyers. One gun shop won't sell to anyone who "just walks in the door" but saves powder for his "regulars". I know of a couple reloaders that have purchased enough components to last a couple decades ("I gotta get mine") and some that bought components that they don't use, "just in case". There are also those that mebbe use 1-2 lbs. of a powder a year buy a couple 8 pounders when they can.

Common sense and reasoning tell me you gt the right answer.
 
Wow, I wouldn't even have given such a complete and lengthy answer to the first query.

The answer was very clear and reasonable. I live in a small town and have seen and experienced the "panic and hoarding" type buyers. One gun shop won't sell to anyone who "just walks in the door" but saves powder for his "regulars". I know of a couple reloaders that have purchased enough components to last a couple decades ("I gotta get mine") and some that bought components that they don't use, "just in case". There are also those that mebbe use 1-2 lbs. of a powder a year buy a couple 8 pounders when they can.

Common sense and reasoning tell me you gt the right answer.
or at least a version as close to right as he could get it.

answer this question. If the shelves were fully stocked, could you afford to clean those shelves?
next question. If so, could you do it again next week?
Your not Bill Gates, or Warren Buffet.

they are making the powder and brass, and bullets, and primers.
it's got to be something between the distributor and retail levels lending to the problems, which could possibly be a gun control advocate with very deep pockets buying up as a large retailer, or possibly as a distributor.

The problems dont feel quite right.
in the Clinton Admin, the hot point was primers, powder wasn't a problem.
At the start of this one, ... guess what, it was primers languishing while everything else recovered.
Now why would that suddenly shift to powder, and why would it be pistol burn rates?
You can't tell me that we don't shoot rifles too
 
or at least a version as close to right as he could get it.

answer this question. If the shelves were fully stocked, could you afford to clean those shelves?
next question. If so, could you do it again next week?
Your not Bill Gates, or Warren Buffet.

they are making the powder and brass, and bullets, and primers.
it's got to be something between the distributor and retail levels lending to the problems, which could possibly be a gun control advocate with very deep pockets buying up as a large retailer, or possibly as a distributor.

The problems dont feel quite right.
in the Clinton Admin, the hot point was primers, powder wasn't a problem.
At the start of this one, ... guess what, it was primers languishing while everything else recovered.
Now why would that suddenly shift to powder, and why would it be pistol burn rates?
You can't tell me that we don't shoot rifles too

You're correct! Step back and look at the big picture, and anyone can see that things just don't make sense.

There just may be a few people hoarding up powder, but it's nowhere near enough to cause a nationwide shortage.

I go to gun shows in Texas and there's no pistol powder being sold. What is offered for sale is sold out in a few minutes.

The current shortage is not because of an increased demand, but rather a shortage of product that creates the false impression of an increase in demand.

Somebody's intercepting that powder before it gets to the customer, and they're intercepting it in mass quantities. Far more than any amount that individual hoarders could afford to purchase.

.
 
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Part of the problem

Wow, I wouldn't even have given such a complete and lengthy answer to the first query.

The answer was very clear and reasonable. I live in a small town and have seen and experienced the "panic and hoarding" type buyers. One gun shop won't sell to anyone who "just walks in the door" but saves powder for his "regulars". I know of a couple reloaders that have purchased enough components to last a couple decades ("I gotta get mine") and some that bought components that they don't use, "just in case". There are also those that mebbe use 1-2 lbs. of a powder a year buy a couple 8 pounders when they can.

This is part of the problem. I do not "hoard" powder. I do not "scalp" powder. I buy powder when I need it. I have been trying to buy W-231 for over a year, can't find it anywhere. Any Hodgen or IMR powder, forget about it. Even at Widener's for heavens sake it is ALWAYS out of stock and I live only 40 miles from them. Where is the powder??

Saving for his "regulars". If my money isn't good enough him because I am not a "regular", then they don't expect my business period.

Just IMHO
 
I think another factor is the dramatic increase in competition shooters. I've observed a big upswing in new or unclassified shooters this past year. I don't have the exact statistics but it's one of the main points of discussion at many of the sanctioning bodies (IDPA,USPSA, and Steel). I use about 3/4 of a pound of powder a week and that is not unusual for a serious competitor (I said serious, not good;)). I haven't bought powder from a brick and mortar store for over a year and a half. I have a good stock of powder (about a years worth) and consequently I am selective when I buy online (minimum of 4#, 8# is better to spread out the hazmat fee). I only am looking for a few powders. Last winter when it was really hard to find powder, I bought 8# or SR7625, I've never used it but keep it as a "Plan C". Powder is out there (online), you just have to be persistent and check various places often. When you see it, order immediately. Last week some Autocomp popped up on Gunbot (I was watching when it appeared). I ordered the maximum 4# (I don't like ordering just 4#, but Autocomp is one of my "preferred" powders). After I ordered my 4#, Gunbot changed to "Sold Out". Total time from first appearing to sold out was less than 5 minutes.
 
Went to a gun show last weekend in Pensacola Fl. pistol and rifle power (several brands) was available in 1, 5 and 10 lb. containers. The 1 lb was going for $22.00 each. Primers and bullets were available also. Picked up some of each. I have looked in several stores (large and small) none to be had. Glad I went to the show.
 
I've got a pound of bullseye I'll trade you if you are willing to come to Texas :D
 
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OP - just a suggestion. Don't use colored text. Some of us are old and have some color blindness as well as other vision problems. That colored text on a dark green background is a real bear to try and read.

That is one thing that really turns me off on a lot of web sites as well. It may be "pretty", but the object is to get the message across to those trying to read it.

Just a friendly suggestion . . . . thanks.
 

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