Bit of ann unorthdox discussion.

nicks75

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I'd like to start a discussion with gun owners in general but
I choose the 15-22 forum simply because I own one and it's relevant to my opinion on the discussion.

There is as most people on here know a nearly infinite amount of discussions based on whether
a 22 caliber firearm would make a good defense weapon, as most will admit it does not but any gun is better than no gun.

With that debate laid to rest I want to discuss what type of rifle would best in a realistic scenario if a major
catastrophic event should happen to our society. Without getting into the details of the scenarios such as likelyhood
I can throw out a few such as nuclear war, viral outbreaks, complete economical collapse,
major blackouts caused by coronal mass ejections, and the ever popular zombie outbreak. Ok kidding on that last one but you get the idea of the scenario I'm trying to paint, complete anarchy, riots, looting, something big enough that
it wont fix itself in a few days but rather months if not years.

I've had this discussion with my co-worker who himself owns several guns and rifles and is big on survival preparedness.
As myself I only own a colt defender 45 acp for my self defense weapon and an m&p 15-2 as my "fun gun".

I have been lately contemplating getting a larger caliber semi-auto for such worse case scenarios and discussing it with my co-worker as to which would be the best rifle to get, the two best obvious choices IMO would be between the m16 and the ak47.
My co-workers opinion has got me having second thought as to a higher caliber rifles as being the best choice in such scenarios and the M&P 15-22 being one of the best choices.

A 22 caliber semi-auto lr in a survival situation seems almost futile at first glance but considering the pro's and con's
of one compared to larger caliber semi's seems like the best choice.

The pros of how I see having a semi 22 cal. namely the m&p 15-22.

A 22 lr is lethal in spite of it being a small lower velocity round.

Lightweight both in the rifle and the rounds,
one can easily carry the rifle and thousands of rounds without an overbearing weight. How easy would it be to carry 1000's
of .223 or .308 caliber rounds.

Decent capacity magazines, 25 per mag makes room for misses without having to reload.

The cost of the rifle and the rounds can be afforded by most people.
In a long term catastrophe a small supply of ammo may not last very long and how many people keep let alone can afford
.223 or .308 sized ammo numbering in the thousands.

Good for hunting small game which will be essential in most catastrophic scenarios, a 22 lr makes a great
varmint killer, it might make a poor choice for larger animals such as deer but IMO small game will be
the best target for food since it's likely in a worse case scenario there would be no energy to keep larger game fresh.
And the 22 is the most commonly used caliber bullet making it more likely to find more after all stores/gunshops
have been looted for their goods.

The cons of how I see them with a m&p 15-22. Low powered Weak penetrating bullet, making it weak on quick kills, though no one would argue that a 22 lr is lethal.
A short lethal range giving you a disadvantage if up against someone with a high powered rifle greater than
100 yards.

And rimfires tend to be unreliable with some exception to cci which I have fired many of and never had one fail at all.


In a perfect world there would never be scenarios like these, in an almost perfect world there will be
but there would be complete calm and cooperation and everyone would work together in rebuilding society
with no violence. Unfortunately we do live in a world with major catastrophes that fall under the "when" not "what if"
events and as society has proven in the past not everyone reacts in a calm rational manner to these events.

These are just my thoughts and opinions as I see them. This maybe a little unorthodox of a discussion
for this forum but it's one that I like to hear the thoughts and opinions of the general gun owner since being prepared
for the worse as far as defending yourself in a major catastrophe should not be overlooked. Thanks for reading.
 
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One issue that comes to mind is the serious disadvantage .22LR has at medium to long range (100-500 yards?) compared to 5.56, 7.62, etc. Assuming the hypothetical situations you described, it can be assumed that there are other people just as interested in survival as you. It can be further assumed that some of them are interested in your survival gear, rations, shelter, etc.
If you are limited to .22LR as your defensive rifle round, and they have 5.56 or 7.62, you may find you've got a bit of a problem.
 
Although the 15-22 is my designated house defence gun, it would be a defencive weapon only in this senerio. I would carrying more gun if I was in this sitchuation. In fact, in this senerio, My AR would be my defencive weapon and and my 308 bolt gun would be my offencive choice. At 280 pounds, carrying two rifles and ammo is not that big a burden.(plus a side arm)
Bill
 
One issue that comes to mind is the serious disadvantage .22LR has at medium to long range (100-500 yards?) compared to 5.56, 7.62, etc. Assuming the hypothetical situations you described, it can be assumed that there are other people just as interested in survival as you. It can be further assumed that some of them are interested in your survival gear, rations, shelter, etc.
If you are limited to .22LR as your defensive rifle round, and they have 5.56 or 7.62, you may find you've got a bit of a problem.

Agreed, in a one on one with similar protective covering and skill the higher powered rifle will be the more likely survivor of an encounter.

My thought when it comes to a firefight it's to not outgun them with power but with the quantity of ammo, though I would imagine that there are people out there that have a 10,000+ stockpile of 5.56-7.62 ammo, going against someone as such with the intent on them wanting your shelter, rations etc would be very hard to survive that attack underpowered.

Where I come to the conclusion of the 22 lr being better overall is that very few people stockpile that much ammo of calibers that size, so in such an event as time goes by assuming you have survived that long that larger caliber ammo will be very scarce making it unlikely you will be in the situation of being overpowered.
I myself have nearly 1000 rounds of 22 lr's and that's just for plinking and not being prepared for such events. I'm actually gonna buy more this week since I'm getting pretty low :D

When I make up a survival plan when it comes to firepower I plan on having 10,000+ rounds of 22 lr's There's no way I could afford that with a larger caliber so I would assume that goes with the majority though not all of other civilians. The desire it to survive the long term not just the first few weeks/months.

Your point is valid but as I said it's just my opinion.
 
You've got the trainer...

Now get the real thing. A "no brainer", imho.

Seriously, the 22 would probably be more useful in a survival scenario. But if you are looking for a defensive arm, the AR pattern carbine or rifle is the logical choice. You can train with the 22, and not spend a fortune on ammo to gain proficiency with the platform.

I'd recommend a carbine course as well, if you really want to learn how to make the most of your rifle.

Good Luck!
 
Just read a little more of the last post...

and I am concerned that you think you have a good strategy with having a lot of 22 on hand.

If you are using a long gun to defend youself, you are probably going to be in a firefight. If you are, the 22 is not going to do what you need it to do, which is have the ability to decisively end the threat.

22 is often lethal, but rarely a stopper. I would encourage you to continue your research, but there are usually some great deals on AR's this time of year. Just sayin'

;)
 
Although the 15-22 is my designated house defence gun, it would be a defencive weapon only in this senerio. I would carrying more gun if I was in this sitchuation. In fact, in this senerio, My AR would be my defencive weapon and and my 308 bolt gun would be my offencive choice. At 280 pounds, carrying two rifles and ammo is not that big a burden.(plus a side arm)
Bill

Yeah a .308 would be the choice for going against someone with the intent on killing you, you could just shoot at their cover and penetrate cars, walls etc. and still kill. I sure would not want to go against someone with a .308 of any rifle with a 22.

I only question do you have enough .308/.223 ammo to last several months or longer with hunting and defending being a common occurrence?

Of course it could be argued that would someone in a lawless environment with a 22 be able to survive long enough to have the advantage of ammo quantity?

The best answer would be to have several different types of guns and rifles of different calibers but as said people with the finances to prepare for such an event would be very few in numbers.
 
and I am concerned that you think you have a good strategy with having a lot of 22 on hand.

If you are using a long gun to defend youself, you are probably going to be in a firefight. If you are, the 22 is not going to do what you need it to do, which is have the ability to decisively end the threat.

22 is often lethal, but rarely a stopper. I would encourage you to continue your research, but there are usually some great deals on AR's this time of year. Just sayin'

;)

Well said, no argument there, which is why I wanted to start this discussion, there's so many different ways one could come up with for how things would be in a catastrophic event.

Though I still have my opinion on the 22 lr it doesn't mean it wouldn't change. I probably have different visions than what others have for these scenarios, different scenarios call for different strategies.

If the average person could afford a huge arsenal of AR rounds then I agree it would be a no-brainer as to what to choose but being that I or probably the average gun owner couldn't afford a large arsenal of high caliber rounds. I would feel safer with quantity over power.

10,000 .223 rounds with an AR anyday over 10,000 22's with a 15-22. Though I'd take 10,000 22 lr's over 1,000 .223's
 
Keep in mind the inherent drawbacks of .22 as well. Bulk ammo tends to have a lot more duds, you'd have to stockpile a certain brand, .22 is a lot more subject to water damage (not rated for submersion like a lot of centerfire ammo), POI shift is more significant with weight or even brand, limited engagement distance, and weather/wind will reduce your ability to put rounds on target.

.22 gun parts are hard to come by. If you snap an extractor while cleaning the rifle is done. You've got 10,000 rounds but your springs should be replaced by the time you get through half of that, and S&W customer service won't be shipping recoil springs. I know there are some people with 20k rounds and no spring changes (and .22 springs are such light weight the probably don't wear as fast), but I've never encountered anything that recommends more than 5000 rounds on a spring before it should be replaced for best function of the weapon.

It's good to have, but I'd want something in .223 or bigger for surviving the long haul.
 
Keep in mind the inherent drawbacks of .22 as well. Bulk ammo tends to have a lot more duds, you'd have to stockpile a certain brand, .22 is a lot more subject to water damage (not rated for submersion like a lot of centerfire ammo), POI shift is more significant with weight or even brand, limited engagement distance, and weather/wind will reduce your ability to put rounds on target.

.22 gun parts are hard to come by. If you snap an extractor while cleaning the rifle is done. You've got 10,000 rounds but your springs should be replaced by the time you get through half of that, and S&W customer service won't be shipping recoil springs. I know there are some people with 20k rounds and no spring changes (and .22 springs are such light weight the probably don't wear as fast), but I've never encountered anything that recommends more than 5000 rounds on a spring before it should be replaced for best function of the weapon.

It's good to have, but I'd want something in .223 or bigger for surviving the long haul.

Good point on the wear of high ammo usage. Can't argue that. Though I don't know enough about AR's in general, are they built to last longer?
 
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... Though I'd take 10,000 22 lr's over 1,000 .223's

I wouldn't, not if I was betting my life.

Standard combat loadout is usually 2-300 rounds, and if you think you're going be in trouble, more.

In a civil breakdown, you don't want to be getting in protracted gunfights, and chances would be that you wouldn't, at least to my way of thinking. A thousand rounds of good 5.56 ammo would be plenty of stockpile for anything I'd consider likely to happen.

Heck, a 100 rounds of a good defensive .223 would likely be more than anyone would ever need, imho.
 
I wouldn't, not if I was betting my life.

Standard combat loadout is usually 2-300 rounds, and if you think you're going be in trouble, more.

In a civil breakdown, you don't want to be getting in protracted gunfights, and chances would be that you wouldn't, at least to my way of thinking. A thousand rounds of good 5.56 ammo would be plenty of stockpile for anything I'd consider likely to happen.

Heck, a 100 rounds of a good defensive .223 would likely be more than anyone would ever need, imho.

True in a single firefight. I'll clarify I don't in any way think of a 22 lr a better round to take to a firefight against a .223 or larger round. Nor am I considering that a firefight is the only thing I consider when choosing what would be more practical. I am considering all things in a long term, hunting defending, what happens when I start running short on ammo.

I also consider that I may not have a home to store surplus ammo in a bad event, for all I know I could be living in the woods in a shelter made with branches or in a vacant building, I won't always be there to defend any surplus ammo or other goods I have stored, so I have to have all my possessions on me at all times leading me to think 22 as better. It would be too much of a burden to carry large amounts of larger caliber rounds. Again different scenarios call for different strategies.
 
As I said, as a survival weapon, a 22 is a good choice. But as a defensive weapon, not so much.

You seemed to be focused on the long-term aspects, which is not necessarily a bad thing. But, imho, all long term considerations are way down the list if we look at the potential necessity of using our weapons for defense.

When or if that happens, it is likely going to be the first few shots that make the difference. Those are going to be the most important shots of your life. If they fail, you won't have any long term considerations to worry about.

You know, you can get 22 uppers that fit right onto a standard AR15 lower, or even get a conversion kit, if only having one gun is a requirement.

ETA here's a reasonably good place to get further insight: http://www.ar15.com/forums/forum.html?b=10&f=17
If you read any of the survival forums, you'll see that guns play a part in preps, but there are many more things to consider as well. Food, water and shelter are just as important as a means of defense, and you really cannot do without any of them.
 
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As I said, as a survival weapon, a 22 is a good choice. But as a defensive weapon, not so much.

You seemed to be focused on the long-term aspects, which is not necessarily a bad thing. But, imho, all long term considerations are way down the list if we look at the potential necessity of using our weapons for defense.

When or if that happens, it is likely going to be the first few shots that make the difference. Those are going to be the most important shots of your life. If they fail, you won't have any long term considerations to worry about.

You know, you can get 22 uppers that fit right onto a standard AR15 lower, or even get a conversion kit, if only having one gun is a requirement.

ETA here's a reasonably good place to get further insight: Survival Discussions - AR15.COM

Yeah opinions will differ a lot depending on how someone envisions the scenario. I do appreciate your thoughts on it and on the link. Getting a AR with a 22 conversion does sound like a great idea, that keeps both options open with very little extra space needed for keeping both the 223 and 22 upper.
 
just some general comments, ammo price plus its size in relation to 223 or 308, a box of 500 bulk .22 is about the same size as a box of 50 or 100 .223/.308. So estentially you can carry up to 5x as much ammo. combined with the fact it is lethal (aim for the head anyway!) and the fact that you may need to have large stock piles of ammo, I don't see any problem with the .22lr. only possible drawback is long distance shooting, for which you would probably want a dedicated marksman rifle anyway. maybe a remington 700 with a 6-20x power scope.
 
I can see your points, but I feel in a situation like that, if I'm going to be carrying a long-gun, it's going to be of a substantial caliber/guage. A good .22 LR would be necessary in a situation like that, but I can't see using one for long range precision shots on man or beast. (Or zombie).:D The .22 I would choose would be a handgun, preferably a revolver. That way I wouldn't have to worry about lost/damaged magazines, and malfunctions would be unlikely. A good .22 LR revolver could harvest game in reasonable range, and be used in a pinch defensively. It wouldn't be my first choice, but it's better than a rock.
My long guns would be a 12 or 20 GA shotgun and a good rifle. I'm partial to the .30-30 lever actions personnally, and for a semi-auto really like the M1 carbine with good hollowpoints.
I'd also have at least one good .357 Mag. revolver on me. Heck, I have one in my pocket right now. OK, so I guess I'd have at least two, the J-Frame and a K-Frame. That way I could use Magnums or .38 Spls.
I feel I could make it through pretty tough times with this setup. Plus, I have an advantage, my 17 year old son knows EVERYTHING about zombies, and he's a pretty good shot.:D
 
If SHTF I'm very close to my 5,000 round goal of Eastern Bloc 7.62 ammo and 25 mags for my AK. I have about 1,000 in 5.56 for my wife and if any of my buddies need something they get the 870 or the 15-22, their choice. Remeber food and water is just as important to stock up on.

If I get old and never use my stockpiles I can either give it to the kids, have one crazy day out in the desert, or sell it for a profit since ammo doesn't really depriciate.
 
10,000 .223 rounds with an AR anyday over 10,000 22's with a 15-22. Though I'd take 10,000 22 lr's over 1,000 .223's

Here is the problem with your argument...

While 10k rounds might sound like a lot, how many of those rounds are really useful? Rounds are useless after you are dead or incapacitated.

What are the chances of you surviving one firefight? Two? Three? Four? Assuming equally skilled combatants and we also assume that one of you will always live and it is a relatively fair fight. So we place your survival odds at 50%, those odds look like this. One -> 50%, two -> 25%, three -> 12.5%, four ->6.25%...

Considering it is quite unlikely you will survive two firefights given even odds, and how many rounds on average will really be expended in those firefights? Say we error high and say 500 rounds (which I think is unlikely to the high side). 1,000 rounds is all you are even likely to use, and if the Light shines on you - 2,000. Suddenly those first 1k-2k rounds, what they are, and how they are employed, becomes vitally important. Which leans towards top tier ammo in an effective caliber, and lots of practice for a high level of proficiency.

I didn't even bother to list the disadvantages of your chosen round, and it's weakness to soft body armor, barriers, range limitations, etc. which may swing odds dramatically away from you.

So, ultimately, the 9,000 rounds of extra 22LR you managed are very likely to be wasted and not used at all...

Things might be different if you could make your large pile of 22LR an advantage, like say, a belt fed SMG. Something to give you a material advantage over your center-fire opponents.

Other possibilities is that you could employ a suppressor with subsonics, something easily done with a 22. I might combine that with some extensive practice creeping and a ghillie suit. Limited application, typically offensive.

Or you could try and draw out firefights counting on the much greater amount of ammo you have on hand to carry the day. But this is also of limited application.
 
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I also consider that I may not have a home to store surplus ammo in a bad event, for all I know I could be living in the woods in a shelter made with branches or in a vacant building, I won't always be there to defend any surplus ammo or other goods I have stored, so I have to have all my possessions on me at all times leading me to think 22 as better. It would be too much of a burden to carry large amounts of larger caliber rounds. Again different scenarios call for different strategies.

This is what caches are for. Learn how to implement them, then use them for future supply depots. You need not keep them in your home.

It would be ridiculous indeed to try and carry 10,000 rounds of 22lr with you at all times :D
 
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