Ammo "Shortage" of 2020 -- November Update

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We are now 12 days into November and the Ammo Shortage of 2020 is now longer and deeper than I expected. Specifically, even after all the ammo purchases over the past 8 months at very high prices, there seems to be an endless demand for practice grade 5.56, .38 Special, and 9mm at about $0.80 per round. :eek:

My hunch is that -- for all the various reasons -- people who would normally have purchased ammo by the box bought multiple boxes or even a case to have on hand, and people who would normally purchase by the case bought an extra case. I fall into the extra case category, although my purchases were made before the shortage to take advantage of the relatively low prices in December 2019 and January 2020 and to stock up while New Jersey still allowed online purchase of ammunition.

Since the jump in prices my ammo purchases have fallen to zero and on range trips I will shoot one box of 5.56 instead of 2 or 3 boxes, and half a box or less of .38 Special and .40 S&W instead of a full box.
 
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Just found what I needed to start reloading 9mm. Didn't think it would come to that. Luckily, I bought a few thousand primers prior to the panic. Wish I had bought more now.
 
I only buy 22 rimfire and 12 gauge; everything else I reload, so these ebbs and flows don't have an impact on me. Still have about 400 white/orange WLRM primers left from the Clinton 'emergency.'
 
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Since I don’t need any ammo (i have plenty and plenty reloading components), I’m not looking for any.

Because I’m not hunting for ammo, I seem to run across ammo for sale at great prices.

For example, yesterday I spotted some old Super Vel 190 gr hollow point 45 acp ammo for what worked out to $.25 a round. I also picked up some 22 lr ammo at pre-pandemic prices at an out of the way surplus store.

It’s out there, it’s just not on the internet.
 
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Only saw a couple boxes of 9MM at my local LGS for just under $30 for 50 rounds yesterday and they were FMJ. Few boxes of centerfire in .270 and 30-06 priced well but .22 and 22 magnum real scarce as only 2 boxes of Hornady Critical Defense for $18. Luckily stocked up at a Wally World when CCI 40 grain is only $10.20 last month for 50 round pack. No 22 or 22 magnum at Walmart yesterday at all.
 
It's a vicious cycle that is presently non-ending - the pressure on gun and ammunition buying is relentless. This is not political, just a commentary on what I observed over the past 12 years. After the 2008 election then President Obama was tongue-in-cheek touted as the best gun salesman we ever had, which I imagine included ammunition. Then President Trump got elected and because the opposition wouldn't let up I guess the overall atmosphere stayed intense and gun and ammunition buying continued apace. Then it's 2020, the pandemic hit, coupled with street riots everywhere, and again the atmosphere stayed tense and first time gun buyers continued to increase and that put a lot of pressure on ammunition. Again, just an observation and not a political commentary, but the opposition continued to hammer on firearms and that kept the atmosphere tense. Then, as I understand it from friends in the industry, the Departments of Defense and Homeland Security purchased enormous amounts of ammunition, and you know that's mostly .223/5.56 and 9mm, sucking the oxygen out of the powder, primer, bullet, and brass industries/ammunition makers. Voila! It's a shortage worse than the run on toilet paper. That's the view from my saddle, anyway, and about as apolitical as it can be in terms of the Forum's rules. It's not aimed at politicians or parties, just the atmosphere they have a hand in creating.

Yes, there is ammunition out there, but it's just hidden from view. And a lot of it is unusual, often European, Latin American, etc. But it's there. I just bought some 9mm and some .45 ACP just to prove it to myself. On the Internet. ;)
 
Most of my shooting is done with my reloads. I still have about 2k primers left, but I don't think I'm going to use much of that stash for a few months just in case the shortages don't improve.
I do have a very good supply of 22lr and this primarily fuels my range trips these days.
This also give me a good excuse for a vintage 22 target pistol purchase since I currently have only one target model.
Could be worse.
 
Most of my shooting is done with my reloads. I still have about 2k primers left, but I don't think I'm going to use much of that stash for a few months just in case the shortages don't improve.
I do have a very good supply of 22lr and this primarily fuels my range trips these days.
This also give me a good excuse for a vintage 22 target pistol purchase since I currently have only one target model.
Could be worse.

Likely will be.
 
I was considering the purchase of some 38 special practice ammo and the hunt was on. I found a Texas dealer that would sell bulk ammo at the rate of $ 399.00 for 250 rounds. I was born at night but not last night, so I figured at $ 1.50 per round they could keep it !!! Maybe rimfire ammo and rocks and spears will be available at reasonable prices.
 
I made a run to my LGS yesterday. I was surprised find Remington .45 230 grain with no limit. I wanted to get 100 rounds for me and a friend asked me to get him a box. Last week they were $25 a box, and a couple of bucks more for a bag of Winchester .45. I couldn't believe it was $39 for a box of 50. I have around 700 rds, of .45 and I replace what I shoot. I think I'm going to buy less in the future even though it's not going to get any cheaper in the long run.

They also haven't had any S&W .40 for a few weeks,
 
I DON'T reload, never learned. Because of that, 1 1/2 weeks ago I found some .38 Special, 4 boxes of 50 for $140. Today I ordered 4 boxes of 9mm for $160! Woulda, coulda, shoulda defines me as far as buying ammo last year for 1/4 the cost. Now, if I can only find some .380 to overpay for I'll really be happy! :(
 
When it comes to ammo prices today, I am reminded of a certain scene from the movie "Deliverance".
"I bet you can squeal like a pig. Weeeeeeee!". :eek:
 
This shortage isn't as bad as the one in 2008. 5.56 was a buck a rd. There was no 9 mm or .22 to buy at any price.

5.56 hasn't reached $1/rd yet but it won't be long now.

I just checked and at todays prices I have $1500 worth of primers and $1000 worth of .22 ammo in my basement. I don't know how many rds of CF ammo I could build but I suspect it would be worth a small fortune.

I expect this shortage to last at least a year.
 
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