What about that other 5%?
There's always a Chicken Little...
Let's put it in perspective.
First, the odds of a concealed carry permit holder ever needing a handgun for self defense is very, very small unless you live somewhere like the hood in Detroit.
So it's a rare event.
Second, while there's no clear data on this (for obvious reasons) a good percentage of the time a concealed carry firearm is used to deter and assault it isn't even fired. Either the CCW permit holder's better level of SA gets them out of trouble before it starts or the the would be assailant keys on the fact that the CCW permit holder has a gun and is about to use it an no imminent threat actually develops.
So, in the event that rare event occurs, there's a good chance you won't have to fire at all.
Third, in those rare upon rare cases where a concealed carry permit does have to fire to defend against an imminent threat, 5 shots or less will get the job done at least 95% of the time.
Let's talk about "at least".
In the 5% of cases where 5 shots or more are fired, it's often unclear whether more shots actually needed to be fired. Remember we're including LEO shoots here as well and the data on that is interesting:
1. officers tend to shoot more now with semi autos than they did with revolvers. Now you can't lay to all on the change in weapons, as there have also been changes in tactics - i.e shoot until the assailant goes down, but the data is still interesting in department thats maintained the same standards pre and post:
- NYPD noted an increase from an average of 4.4 rounds per officer per gun fight to an average of 6.9 rounds;
-Metro Dade county PD noted an increase from an average of 2.5 shots per officer per "incident" with revolvers to 3.2 shots per officer per incident with semi-autos (incidents includes ADs etc, not just gun fights).
2. At the same time the hit probability has decreased
- from around 20% to around 12-13% for NYPD;
- from 35% to 25% for Metro-Dade.
3. More officers involved in a shoot means more shots fired per officer:
- LA county noted an average of 3.59 shots per officer per gunfight with a single officer present. This increased to 4.98 shots per officer with 2 officers present and to 6.48 shots per officer with more than 2 officers present.
- At the same time the hit percentage decreased from 51% with a single officer to 23% with 2 officers to just 9% with 3 officers.
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The point here is that the data suggesting 95% of all shoots involve 5 shots or less includes these multi-officer shoots where the hit percentages are truly abysmal.
For a single armed citizen involved shoot the number of rounds fired is even lower and the odds against ever needing more than the 5 or 6 rounds you have in a revolver is extremely small - far less than 5%.
Now...people may well shoot them because they've got them, but if you ever need more than 5 or 6 rounds you've basically managed to get yourself into some seriously screwed up situation that you probably could have avoided with a little common sense.
That said, yes, some folks are stupid and some of these folks will probably think it's a good idea to be able to shoot them selves out of a stupid situation. But let's call that what it is - stupid.
Everyone else is going to needlessly be carrying extra rounds that they'll never use. The problem is that the more your EDC weighs the less likely to are to wear it all day long from the time you get up to the time you go to bed.
What if someone kicks the door in right now? Are you wearing your handgun? I am, and that's largely because I no longer go out looking for trouble and recognize that a Hi Power and 46 rounds of ammo is overkill, and instead carry K-frame .357.
If you're wearing your handgun right now, the odds of you being able to get to it across the room are slim and none if the door kicker has a gun and intends to use it.
Personally, I carry a revolver and I practice a tactical reload every time I load it, at home or at the range, so in the event I ever do find my self in a shoot, and I find myself needing more than 6 rounds, I'll be well practiced for the reload.