RCT69
Any/ALL doubters need only have a look at yester-year's ballistic tables, and compare them to today's---where you will see today's +P bears a remarkable similarity to yester-year's fodder. And don't overlook the fact yester-year's ammo was downloaded in between times.
There's another earlier post about the velocities in olden days. So, let's discuss "published velocities".
Through the 1960s chorographs were owned by ammo companies, powder companies, a few independent ballistics labs, various DOD entities and contractors and some famous gun writers. What was published-by the factories-was generally regarded as fact. I can still recall an article by Jack O'Connor after Winchester introduced the .264 Winchester cartridge with great hoopla over velocites/trajectory. The actual velocity from a production gun wasn't a significant improvement over the .270. The older Lyman manuals had a section in the back where they showed what factory ammo did in the test guns they used in their load development. There's some significant differences shown there.
This all came to a head when chronographs became consumer goods and folks became aware of the differences between claimed and what they saw in their guns. SAAMI changed the test procedures for handgun ammunition. The new process used barrels of the lengths generally seen in that caliber and revolver barrels were vented to simulate the barrel/cylinder gap. Published velocities dropped to real world levels.
Then pressure testing went from copper crusher (CUP) to piezo electric (PSI) methods. Pressure spikes that were unknown with the CUP method now became known. I've a manual downstairs that has an entry that the .45 ACP data with 200 gr bullets isn't a misprint, it's the result of previoiusly unknown (very briefly) excessive pressures.
Also recall that compliance with SAAMI specs is voluntary. If any ammo company chooses to jack up pressures to improve performance, no big deal so long as they're reasonable about it. The .38/.44 figures in here*. The formal +P ratings resulted from an agreement between ammo and gun makers as to what's reasonable beyond original SAAMI pressure maximums in certain calibers.
+P+ is a whole 'nother situation. It originated with a desire by governmental agencies for better ammo performance with the bullet designs of the day. Those agencies signed lengthy hold harmless agreements that noted increased wear and possible destruction of the firearm and injuries and/or death to the users*. The pressures will be whatever is necessary to meet the contract requirements. Be aware that most such ammo on the open market didn't meet specifications in some manner. Out of simple curiousity, I picked up a couple of boxes of 9mm by a famous maker and it wasn't significantly faster than their +P ammo.
*See the difference lawyers make in similar situations 60 years apart.