I'm thinking the same thing. We are much less likely to see sweeping federal restrictions or new taxes on firearms or ammo, so that is not going to put inflationary pressure on the ammo market.The Trump landslide win will lessen the demand for ammo in
the coming months. As mentioned earlier, buy what you can
when you can. That's what I'm doing.
The pressure on the ammo market will come from foreign wars and our reliance upon importing nearly everything. Vista Outdoor controls production of Federal, CCI/Speer and Remington and they seem more focused on military contracts. China cutting the export of nitrocellulose and metals to the U.S. will certainly drive up prices, but China started doing that in 2023. I'm sure China is also using a lot of those metals and nitrocellulose to make munitions for themselves, Russia, Iran, and North Korea, all of these nations are engaging in war.
Supply and demand rules prices. I don't think there will be a huge demand in the U.S., but there is a massive demand for the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East.