BAD NEWS . . . Gotta know the Ballistic Coefficient of the specific bullet type design (AND the specific make of that type bullet) of the 125 and 158 gn bullets to know what amount of air drag is put on the bullet in flight.
Also, the velocity of the load you are firing from that length barrel.
GOOD NEWS . . . The bullet is gonna go where its gonna go, so once you get a fairly "close" but accurate expected trajectory it will be enough for your to learn what the sight picture looks like above your intended impact point on that type of target.
Then, from the bench and sandbags, you can begin to shoot enough ammo to make sure exactly what your "rainbow" is.
If you load your own ammo, check your reloading manuals for the information you need. If you shoot factory stuff, contact the factory and see if they'll work up some estimated charts for you through that 2 5/8" tube.
Shooting handguns at 200 yards is FUN . . . once you know your aim point. Technically, your anticipated group will be in a multiple of your normal group at a given distance. For instance, if you can shoot a 2" group at 50 yards, at four times that distance you should theoretically get an 8" group. (If your group size is 8" at 50 yards it would theoretically group inside a 32" circle at 200 yards. Ya just gotta know where the center of that theoretical circle actually is!!!
Then again . . . wind speed and drag on a relatively "slow velocity," bumblebee-shaped bullet can wreak havoc on those group sizes!!!
In any event, it is fun to discover your amount of holdover and then amaze your friends who think you are an amazing shot. Again though . . . the bullet will go exactly where it is gonna go, and if you do YOUR job it will go where YOU want it to go too!!!