Originally posted by pbslinger:
What is the smallest change that would have resulted in an Axis victory?
Outside of Jimmy Carter replacing FDR, I'm very doubtful that they COULD win.
Axis ends and means were so consistently not just irrational, but ANTI-rational that it's hard to see what would have made a serious difference.
If Hitler had died before the war, Germany MIGHT have had a sane leader to fight the war, but a sane leader probably wouldn't have fought the war, certainly not the war that Hitler started.
If Germany hadn't persecuted the Jews, they might have gotten nuclear weapons first, but as long as there was a Hitler, there was going to be no "Jewish science".
And the list just goes on.
As far as the Japanese go, only Jimmy Carter or Bill Clinton could have saved them, and probably not even then. They would have needed a Dennis Kucinich to bail them out. The ONLY way for the Japanese to win was to have the US just roll over. And without a REAL loser at the top, that would never happen. There probably would have been an impeachment or a military coup anyway. The closest approximation I've seen to Japanese "grand strategy" is the machinations of "Drunky Crow" on the Cartoon Network. Attacking the United States was their version of "beer goggles". The general invasion of China was stupid beyond belief and in fact accomplished the EXACT opposite of everything it was allegedly supposed to accomplish. The war against the US and Britain was just a continuation of that monstrously ill-conceived fiasco.
The Japanese would have been better off if Yamamoto had seized power after the last Army mutiny, but he was the loudest voice AGAINST war with the US.
Asking how the Axis could have won is like asking how things could have worked out better for the Alabama mass murderer without him deciding to not BE a mass murderer.