The unseen effect of Covid-19 is just about upon NZ

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Here in Kiwiland we have been pretty lucky. A total border closure to all except returning citizens or residents, combined with compulsory 14 day isolation with tests at day 3 and 12, exptended to 28 days if you don't have the tests, and quarantine in a seperate facility if the test is positive for covid, has seen litle impact on the health of our population. But economically that may change.

It is not often appreciated just how much freight flows into our country by air. With only a handful of incoming flights each week some goods are getting very difficult to purchase with some long waiting lists and no guarantee of supply due to our small population.

One economist warned last week that while we may have items to purchase for Christmas, the following weeks' annual sales may not happen due to lack of merchandise.

Last week a freighter due to pull into Auckland, our biggest port, was diverted to a secondary port as with facilities reduced ships are having to drop anchor in the harbour for up to 14 days to get a berth at a wharf. This is causing some shipping companies to refuse to carry sea freight to NZ as they cannot afford the wait time in harbour.

The ship that berthed is causing all sorts of issues with the roading network, which to be honest is not all that great in the area. It will take weeks to get the containers to Auckland by road and the infastructure effects will not be minor.

I heard one large vehicle outlet advertising today on the radio to order your next years new car now to guarantee delivery, but no delivery date could be specified. It will get here when it gets here, sometime in 2021.

No tourism income, no international students bringing in overseas funds, and with government aid for both workers and those who have lost their employment through covid-19 ending in the next month or so the economy is looking fragile. The 7% loss in GDP projected during our covid lockdown has been reduced to just 3% for 2021. But that is only a prediction.

Meanwhile we are being told that the vaccine will not be available for initial distribution (750,000 individual doses for a population of 5 million) until April 2021 and further supplies are uncertain.

While we have escaped the toll in lives that most of the world has suffered the economic impact has gone from dire predictions to "hey, it won't so bad actually" to uncertain.

I juta hope that 2021 is a better year for us all.
 
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IF it let up at all here....

Here in Kiwiland we have been pretty lucky. A total border closure to all except returning citizens or residents, combined with compulsory 14 day isolation with tests at day 3 and 12, exptended to 28 days if you don't have the tests, and quarantine in a seperate facility if the test is positive for covid, has seen litle impact on the health of our population. But economically that may change.

It is not often appreciated just how much freight flows into our country by air. With only a handful of incoming flights each week some goods are getting very difficult to purchase with some long waiting lists and no guarantee of supply due to our small population.

One economist warned last week that while we may have items to purchase for Christmas, the following weeks' annual sales may not happen due to lack of merchandise.

Last week a freighter due to pull into Auckland, our biggest port, was diverted to a secondary port as with facilities reduced ships are having to drop anchor in the harbour for up to 14 days to get a berth at a wharf. This is causing some shipping companies to refuse to carry sea freight to NZ as they cannot afford the wait time in harbour.

The ship that berthed is causing all sorts of issues with the roading network, which to be honest is not all that great in the area. It will take weeks to get the containers to Auckland by road and the infastructure effects will not be minor.

I heard one large vehicle outlet advertising today on the radio to order your next years new car now to guarantee delivery, but no delivery date could be specified. It will get here when it gets here, sometime in 2021.

No tourism income, no international students bringing in overseas funds, and with government aid for both workers and those who have lost their employment through covid-19 ending in the next month or so the economy is looking fragile. The 7% loss in GDP projected during our covid lockdown has been reduced to just 3% for 2021. But that is only a prediction.

Meanwhile we are being told that the vaccine will not be available for initial distribution (750,000 individual doses for a population of 5 million) until April 2021 and further supplies are uncertain.

While we have escaped the toll in lives that most of the world has suffered the economic impact has gone from dire predictions to "hey, it won't so bad actually" to uncertain.

I juta hope that 2021 is a better year for us all.

...it wasn't for very long, then it came right back in force. Now we are preparing for another blast. Maybe by spring. Or fall for you down under.
 
I'm glad your nation accomplished what needed to be done, and wish y'all luck managing the financial pitfalls of being a small island economy.
It must be such a relief not having this risk threaten your extremely high risk wife.


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In the U.S., I'm wondering after the first of the year if there won't be air freight (FedEx/UPS) available for a couple months while they distribute the vaccine.
 
In the U.S., I'm wondering after the first of the year if there won't be air freight (FedEx/UPS) available for a couple months while they distribute the vaccine.

I've seen the actual transport containers used to maintain the cold chain; they're not that big. Compared to the daily volume of packages and mail already served, it shouldn't be a major disruption.
 
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From where I sit, I think NZ has done an excellent job so far in dealing with the virus. (Being such an isolated country has its advantages during a pandemic, too.) I hope that the scarcity of items available is confined largely to consumer goods and does not impact the necessities of life.

Best of luck to you and your countrymen, Kiwi.
 
Brent, thanks for the update. I admire how well your country has dealt with the virus. I can certainly imagine the economic impact there as many goods have to be shipped in and small businesses seem to be the norm in NZ so it must be extremely difficult for many of them. Unfortunately our small businesses are suffering terribly in addition to the unimaginable human carnage here, a 9/11 death toll every day.

I was actually in NZ in February/March of this year and too busy enjoying myself to turn on the news or check my flight home until the day before my planned departure. When I checked both I was shocked at the virus news and my flight home was oversold. I made it home with a detour to Australia for a night thankfully. I had planned a couple more trips to NZ this year but they obviously fell by the wayside. I am hoping to return next year and one of these times I will make good on my threat to visit you.

You and and your wife stay safe and well! Hope to meet up one day.
 
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Brent, thanks for the update. I admire how well your country has dealt with the virus. I can certainly imagine the economic impact there as many goods have to be shipped in and small businesses seem to be the norm in NZ so it must be extremely difficult for many of them. Unfortunately our small businesses are suffering terribly in addition to the unimaginable human carnage here, a 9/11 death toll every day.

I was actually in NZ in February/March of this year and too busy enjoying myself to turn on the news or check my flight home until the day before my planned departure. When I checked both I was shocked at the virus news and my flight home was oversold. I made it home with a detour to Australia for a night thankfully. I had planned a couple more trips to NZ this year but they obviously fell by the wayside. I am hoping to return next year and one of these times I will make good on my threat to visit you.

You and and your wife stay safe and well! Hope to meet up one day.

We get our first doses of vaccine early in 2021 with vaccinations apparently commencing in April. It is hoped by June/July to have a significant number of the population vaccinated.

But whether the borders will then open is still being questioned. Will the vaccine prevent COVID spread or just protect the vaccinated from the effects? That is the question being asked.

I am anticipating borders reopening something around September.
 
So Kiwi, do you have gun stores stocked up with ammo and firearms or is the cupboard bare like here?

We have some good stocks of firearms at present but not always what the consumer wants. It can be a case of take this one or wait.

There is still plenty of ammo available, we have manufacturers here filling demand. Quality branded ammo like Winchester and Remington can be hard to find in some calibers and components for reloading are starting to get a bit scarce. Prices have risen despit the NZ$ now being above where it traded in February/March.

Early next year is when the crunch may hit.
 
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