What price 9mm would motivate you to buy a case

What price ($/50 rounds) to motivate to to buy case of 9mm

  • $14 per 50 rounds

    Votes: 11 13.9%
  • $13 per 50 rounds

    Votes: 7 8.9%
  • $12 per 50 rounds

    Votes: 21 26.6%
  • $11 per 50 rounds

    Votes: 9 11.4%
  • $10 per 50 rounds

    Votes: 31 39.2%

  • Total voters
    79
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I am quite short on 9mm ammo and waiting for prices to come down a bit more.

What would the price have to be ($/50 rounds) to motivate you to buy a case of 9mm brass cases target rounds.
 
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I have collected enough components to load maybe 10k rounds so any factory ammo would have to be pretty cheap. If I saw 1k rounds of brass cased for $0.25/rd I would consider it.
 
Dollar Cost Averaging

I don't ever really run low on certain cartridges because I recognize low prices and buy a lot. Two years ago 9mm 115grn fmj range ammo was available by the case delivered for $0.14 per round. I bought a few shipments.

In the past year I have supplemented my stock by paying $0.42/rnd/case delivered; then $0.38 delivered, and most recently $0.35 per round (1000) delivered. Given what I had in stock, my average cost to shoot 9mm now is about $0.20/rnd.

My next buy point will be <$0.30/rnd, but just one case. At $0.20/rnd I'll start buying more regularly. I don't think it will go much lower any time soon.
 
I plan to start replacing what I have been shooting over the past two years when the price goes down to about $270/case delivered. And start stocking up again around $220 - $240. It is taking much longer than I thought it would for prices to come down.

Between inflation, copper being in short supply and increased demand we will likely never see $10/box 9mm again. A big part of the very low prices a few years ago was ammo manufacturers building new production capacity after the big price jump in the shortage 8 years ago only to see demand fall and end up with excess capacity. From what I have read they are running the plants they have 24/7 but are not investing in more capacity this time.

I ran a similar poll last May (What's the most you will pay for a case of 9mm?). It will be interesting to see how people have adjusted their expectations. The 12% that were waiting for prices of less than $9/50 round box are probably starting to realize that is never to happen.

On the other side about a third of the people that responded in July said they would spend $15 or more. So they are probably buying a lot of ammo now and the price will not come down until they have bought all they want or start thinking it will be cheaper if they wait.

ETA: I didn't buy a case but I did buy 600 rounds of Norma 9mm FMJ when it was $15/box delivered right after Thanksgiving. Above my price point but but like CB3 said, sometimes dollar cost averaging is not just for investing.
 
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One thing (actually, MORE than one thing) I've learned over MANY years, I can wait until things meet MY expectations; OR live without them very easily.
I may not have a lot of time left, but..... I'LL WAIT for $10/box of 50 (including tax).

J.
 
My choice isn't listed. It would have to be less than $5. I don't buy ANY factory ammo except rimfire.
 
99% of my 9mm shooting is reloads, so I'll just wait for deals, if any, to come down the pike. Have a stash of factory ammo, but rarely dip into it. Of course it never hurts to have more.
 
I jumped in for a case each time on the last two Norma deals. Last case I bought pre pandemic was $10 a box, but I think those days will be gone for a while. In the past I'd payed as much as $12 or $13 a box if I was buying locally. Another couple bucks a box over that didn't seem too bad. Also have been buying SP primers for $80 a thousand so really can't reload 9mm for too cheap anymore.
 
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I keep a watch on ammoseek, and see the price coming down a bit on Tula and Wolf steel case, to 30-32 cents per round...which I choose not to use in my guns. If they hit that price point for new brass case ammo I will probably buy a case.
 
We've been in this situation for almost two years now, and with inflation rising, and driving up prices for everything, even if ammo suddenly becomes commonly available again, I doubt we'll see a return to the prices of yesteryear.

I'm not especially short on 9mm right now, but if I saw Federal, Winchester, or Remington at anything close to $20/box (of 50), I would scarf it up.
 
I have only found one factory 9mm round that is so extraordinary in my most troublesome pistol that I'm willing to pay for it. It was never cheap. Around $225 the last time I purchased, maybe three years ago. If I'd see it around $250, I'd probably order a case, and hope maybe it will continue to go down a bit. Otherwise, I'm much more interested in where primers level off. If it's going to be $60/M or more, my pistol shooting will permanently get scaled way back.
 
The last time I bought 9mm ammo I paid 7.99/box of 50. Believe it or not, that wasn't too long ago...... maybe two years or so. I saw the writing on the wall and now I make my own.

If I were not reloading I'd say anything under $14 bucks a box isn't too outrageous and probably worth getting some. No one has a crystal ball and so no one knows when we hit bottom. I guess the main factor would be just how much 9mm you have and what your inventory comfort level is. of course your financial situation will play into that as well.
 
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