Hit up a couple of gun shops yesterday. There is no ammo shortage here. The big shops had pallets of ammo. Lots of different stuff around now. I saw lots of 30-06, 30-30, 300 Blackout, 270, 44 Mag, even lots of 45 Colt now. Tons of target shotgun shells and 209 primers. Just about everything that was available pre apocalypse is there now. Still no primers for everything else. I bought a couple of boxes of Magtech 380 at $26 a box and a brick of Aguila, 22LR for $45. More than I want to pay but I needed it so you have to pay to play.
Ammo is around because the panic that fueled people paying any absurd price that was named has died down, and those that are left are still not going to pay $18 for target 9MM and consider it a good deal. That is more than double the price from 2 years ago. I am aware of inflation, but a 100% increase is absurd. I said this when the craziness started. Manufacturers are going to see that people are willing to pay 70% more and are going to charge that. Only way to stop them is to not buy it. People on this thread calling $18 for 9MM a good deal are the problem. Primers that used to be $40 going to $55-$60? I’ll hold my nose and pay it. Not like I buy them everyday. But $100? No way. I could afford it but it’s the principle. I don’t like being fleeced for corporate greed.
Not me. I’ve got several thousand rounds loaded and the ability to make several thousand more. My shooting has dropped dramatically, other than .22. I’m fully aware prices are going to be higher, but if $100 bricks of primers are going to be the norm I will be saying goodbye to the shooting sports and just keeping what I have for a rainy day.
The problem with not buying is that the decrease in price is short term and only lasts until the ammo already produced is gone. If there is a slowdown in consumption, the manufacturers adjust by reducing production, not by decreasing profit margin. Once the ammo that has already been produced is sold off, less will be available and the lesser demand means that less will be produced. Your solution of removing yourself from the sport and not being a consumer is the only way to avoid the issue completely. But if a large majority of shooters decide to do that, don't expect the prices to come down long term.
I completely agree with you about the conspiracy theories.
But stocking up when prices are low and not buying when prices are high reduces the impact of wild swings in demand, it doesn't make things worse.
If stockpilers hadn't been buying a lot of ammo a few years back when ammo was cheap ammo makers might have decided to get out of the business or cut costs by reducing their production capacity to meet reduced demand. Importers might have decided it was not worth the hassle to start selling in the US market. So supply would be even more restricted and prices would be higher today.
And if everyone shooting from their stockpile was instead buying ammo demand would be even higher today. And so would prices.
Stocking up a few years ago when prices were low was a shrewd thing to do. Ammo was everywhere and inexpensive so it didn't hurt anyone else then. And it is certainly not making ammo more expensive today.