Big Shortage Coming!

That is definitely a valid point. But ONLY if it is a 2-way street. For that theory to work in the real world, THEY have to be as dependent on US as we are on THEM.

What essentials are China and Iran dependent on the USA for right now?....

China needs us to buy their excess output. Their economy depends on it. We don't buy it, they have the Great Depression 3.0. Not sure how Iran got into this.
 
Israel is about to go to war with Iran. There will probably be more shortages than nitrocellulose and antimony. Iran exports 90% of it's oil to China. When Israel turns Iran's oil exporting facilities into a smoldering heap of scrap metal the Chinese are not going to be happy with the US and it's support of Israel. There will be a lot of things not coming from China.

Anyone can make black powder. The typical ratio of ingredients is 75% potassium nitrate, 15% charcoal, and 10% sulfur. Flint is easy enough to find laying around.

Back to the future. ;)
 
The last 10 or 15 panics were enough to put the issue in sharp relief for me.
The cat's out the bag, now, boys. If there wasn't a component buying panic, there surely will be now.
The key in dealing with such events is to maintain an adequate inventory of what you use. Don't succumb to the mad rush. Instead, be prepared to secure components and factory ammo when it is in good supply. Do this with great regularity. Buy it cheap and stack it deep as the saying goes.
If you did not take advantage of improved conditions after the last panic buy out, you really don't have a complaint. This thing is nothing new.
 
China needs us to buy their excess output. Their economy depends on it. We don't buy it, they have the Great Depression 3.0.

Yeah, they need us to continue to support the huge trade imbalance for the good of their economy.

So basically if we stopped doing that it would cripple one of our biggest enemies and competitors.

Doesn't sound like a bad strategy to me - especially if they are going to boycott selling us essentials, and if we can bring production of those things back onshore.

But I'm no economist.

Not sure how Iran got into this.

See post #20 above...
 
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Anyone can make black powder. The typical ratio of ingredients is 75% potassium nitrate, 15% charcoal, and 10% sulfur. Flint is easy enough to find laying around.

Back to the future. ;)[/QUOTE]


Ingredients measured by weight
 
An existing plant can switch production to gunpowder
Provided they want to and are currently in a related industry


Do you honestly believe a gunpowder plant can open up in 3-4 weeks? If so, I have a NFL team to sell you.

Not to mention, under a Democrat Administration the EPA, OSHA & a host of other bureaucratic donkeys will ensure they never turn a profit until they close down.

Democrat Administrations HATE ammo & gun manufacturing plants with a passion. Do you think it's coincidence that S&W moved to TN? Or Remington to Alabama? Or FN to Alabama?

Poo-poohing political realities about firearms, ammo & components is exactly what gun grabbers hope for.
 
I've talked about this before, how the Obama ammo panic taught me my lesson and I decided never to get caught short again.

I saw a discussion the other day on Facebook people who were all pissed off because people were panic buying toilet paper ahead of the dock worker strike.

I remember thinking "Did these people learn nothing from covid"?

Similarly, I wonder did people learn nothing from the Obama years and every subsequent panic since?

During the Obama years I decided that I was never going to get caught short on ammo again. I've talked about this multiple times in the past we have an ammo budget.

Even now when we are on a fixed income we have an ammo budget. My Wife puts away so much money from every paycheck and when she finds a good sale on ammunition she buys as much as she can reasonably afford.

During all the covid shortages I told my wife to make note of the things that we needed that were hard to obtain and if it ever eased up to lay in a supply of those things.

I'm not sure why but it frustrates the hell out of me when I see people who have been given ample warning and they refuse to acknowledge it.

If I didn't learn anything else from the last ammo panic I learned that it wasn't the last ammo panic and when happens again I'm not going to say "I told you so" but I'm going to be thinking it.
 
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I saw a discussion the other day on Facebook people who were all pissed off because people were panic buying toilet paper ahead of the dock worker strike.

I remember thinking "Did these people learn nothing from covid"?

Similarly, I wonder did people learn nothing from the Obama years and every subsequent panic since?

During the Obama years I decided that I was never going to get caught short on ammo again. I've talked about this multiple times in the past we have an ammo budget.

Even now when we are on a fixed income we have an ammo budget. My Wife puts away so much money from every paycheck and when she finds a good sale on ammunition she buys as much as she can reasonably afford.

During all the covid shortages I told my wife to make note of the things that we needed that were hard to obtain and if it ever eased up to lay in a supply of those things.

I'm not sure why but it frustrates the hell out of me when I see people who have been given ample warning and they refuse to acknowledge it.

If I didn't learn anything else from the last ammo panic I learned that it wasn't the last ammo panic and when happens again I'm not going to say "I told you so" but I'm going to be thinking it.

After the Obama years I was surprised some of the same short on foresight people went right back to their previous activity. Heck I know people right now who have less than a week's food in their houses...even after the empty shelves of covid. My wife and I grew up canning preserving smoking and curing meats. We even canned pork sausage. We learned how to survive. We grew our own food...we lived on deer ducks geese and anything else in season. Even at our age we still can foods. We're making approx 75 quarts of tomato sauce next week...24 pints of sweet pepper relish... and lotsa chicken soup with 3 of those chickens Costco sells...and believe me, I have enough ammo and reloading components...and almost kinda sorta enough S&W revolvers.
 
I stay well stocked anyone that does not put away for the future I do not feel sorry for Remember most likely the price you pay today will be less than what it will be in the future
 
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Just putting this out there. While I was at Camp Atterbury this summer, live-fire training switched to simulator training as if someone flipped the light switch. In talking to a Command Sergeant Major, I asked what the current domestic wartime munitions inventory was like. I was told less than 10 days. Most of our munitions supplies were either in Isreal or the Ukraine. With that handy tidbit, Lake City AAP just demolished the building dedicated to the production of 7.62x51. That production has been moved to a shared line. I don't think that our military has packed munitions high and deep!
 
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"ball powders do not. This is from Ed Harris."

Sorry like a lot of things he is wrong here also google how to make ball powders it is the process not so much what goes into them.
 

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