I can't answer your question, but the stocks are of later vintage. The stocks of that period have the large recessed brass Bmedallion.
I don't clearly understand your question "how many 4 inch target models were made?"
What time period are you referring to ?
If you mean all pre-WW2 .38 special K-frames, you'd have to start with about 800,000
guns. Then use the the assumption that approximately 10% of those were targets,
which is about 80,000 guns. Now, factory targets were available in 4 lengths; 4", 5", 6", and 6 1/2", depending on the specific time period.
It generally believed that the longer barrels were more popular for target guns, so
lets say that 10% were 4", 10% were 5", and the rest were the longer barrels. For
the 4" guns, 10% of the 80,000 targets is 8000 guns.
Finally, we have to make an assumption about the survival rate. A lot of guns have been lost, for a variety of reasons. Lets say the survival rate is 25%, so that means that there ought to be 2000 4" targets - somewhere.
There are reasons for making the assumptions that I did. For one, there was a class
of target shooting called pocket revolvers, and that included 4" barrels, I believe.
I have a pair of 4" targets from 1910 that went to two pocket revolver shooters in St Louis.
The moral of this story is that the assumptions are critical to estimating the number of
surviving 4" .38 target revolvers. Change the numbers, and you'll get very different
results. For example changing the 10% assumption about fraction of 4" lengths to 1%
brings the estimate of survivors down to 200 guns, which is probably not enough.
Regards, Mike Priwer
GRI
4" barrels were a cataloged offering, since 1899. Here is the relevant pages from the
1919 catalog. I can show you as many other years as you might like. Adjustable sights were always offered, at first as an option, and then later as part of the model identification.
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They were available from 1899 through at least 1940 pre-WW2. I have several from 1899 forward.
It has been suggested that the survival rate for targets should be higher than M&P's.
I even suggested that in a presentation that I gave. However, I purposely assumed
25% for this discussion, and even then I get a large number of guns. Push it up to 50% and you'll get twice as many.
Its also true, as you note, that they are seldom seen. On the surface, that suggests that there should be very few. On the other hand, the number of people who participate in this forum is a rather small percentage of S&W owners. The S&W Collectors Assn has less than 3000 members, and we do have world-wide representation. Our gut feelings about the numbers of these guns is typically based on what we see offered for sale, and what is talked about on forums like this.
I think there are lots and lots of collectors that we don't know, and I think that lots of guns are passed down from generation to generation in a very private manner, and I think that a lot of gun owners keep their gun ownership private. There is always this nagging concern about gun confiscation, and its probably rather wide-spread.
A lot of countries either do not allow gun ownership, or have very rigid laws regarding gun ownership. No one wants the Feds knocking on their door, so they keep their guns to themselves.
The methodology for my estimation does document the relevant considerations, for making an estimate of number of 4" target revolvers. Perhaps you have another approach ?
Regards, Mike Priwer
Thanks Mike for the excellent catalog pictures. It would be poor of me to denigrate your input after asking for it and I hope it was not taken that way. Colts tend to have precise information on these issues, whereas Smiths appear to be more of a wag.
Greg