In the last day or so, I have seen and read a bit of crap "hinting" that Joran might not go to the wall for the full stretch.
Personally, as I just said, I think that's crap. A lot of what I see and hear is always based on the particular talking head's understanding of the American justice system. And that's fine, I'm sure they know a lot more than I do about the American justice system.
However, Joran isn't under the U.S. justice system. I don't know anything about Peru's justice system, but I'm sure it's going to be closer to my reality than the U.S. reality.
And here, the Justice Officials would make ANY claim they felt like making (hell, they'd even PROMISE) to get Joran to tell them what they wanted to know. However, if it's anything like here, a PROMISE means nothing. A PROMISE in writing means nothing. A claim means nothing. Reality is what it is. And this is something that probably everyone living in Peru understands and many of the talking heads do not; a "promise" is a way to get at the facts. Nothing more.
Joran's in serious trouble here, and probably going to go for the full run in a bad house. Money probably won't help him here (except to buy more "promises"). The only thing I can think of is if Peru needs something from Aruba, or Belgium, that might help him. For example, if Peru felt that it might be nice to have a big memorial to all the troops they lost in the Battle of Passchendaele in 1917 right there beside the Canadian Memorial (and I don't think they lost any), this could work out in Joran's favor for better living conditions.
Roughly, here's how I've seen things work out here in the last 20 years.
1. Foreigner in legal trouble AGAINST Mexican with rock-solid evidence in favor of foreigner. Result: Foreigner walks, not much happens to Mexican.
2. Foreigner in legal trouble AGAINST Mexican with iffy evidence in his favor. Result: Foreinger gets deported. Mexican wins.
2 (A). RICH Foreigner in legal trouble AGAINST Mexican with iffy evidence in his favor. Result: Foreigner gets cleaned out financially and gets deported. If Foreigner is "connected", then is just highly advised to leave on own free accord.
3. Foreigner in legal trouble AGAISNT Mexican with evidence NOT in his favor. Foreigner probably does jail time. Then gets deported. If Foreigner was rich, is cleaned out first BEFORE jail time and deportation.
Colonel Phil Maher, the former U.S. Consul here, once told me that Canadians or Americans "Who are sure they are right and can absolutely prove it, are probably okay. Otherwise, avoid the Mexican Justice system and settle it yourself if you can, or accept the loss if you can't."
I consider Joran to be in category 3. He is in legal trouble, and the dead girl's father is not just a Peruvian, but a Peruvian of some stature. Don't be too fooled by smoke, that's just there to get you to tune in or buy the paper. Joran is in BIG trouble, and all the rest of it (promises, claims, speculations) are probably, IMNSHO, just a means to the end to get the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth (with maybe a little Latin Embellishment thrown in) as quickly and efficiently as is possible in the 3rd World so they can get onto making Joran's continued existence as miserable as possible.
I'd say he's going to end up being one sorry duck. If he lives and doesn't kill himself. I really don't think the Peruvians will do him -- although, I could always be wrong. I often am.