I have no problem with a 9mm, BUT why oh why do we have to relive the fiasco that was the 147 gr. bullet in the late 80's to mid 90's? Anyone with half a brain (which excludes the FBI) knows that the 1,300 + fps 115 gr. JHP's like the legendary Fed. BPLE & Win. +p+ version were fight enders as proven by the IL State Police, Border Patrol, etc. I know many say "well, the new generation of 147 gr. JHP's are different" but never present any real Street data to back it up. Where's the beef? If velocity is not a factor then why does the .357 Mag. 125 gr. & .357 SIG 125 gr. have such stellar Street records? Penetration is certainly a factor for sure, but not the only thing or else we'd be using ball ammo. I'd feel better for them if they compromised and used the Speer Gold Dot 124 gr. +p. I don't think it's a good idea to handicap the 9mm by turning it into basically a lumbering .38 Special with 147 gr. bullets. Just my haggard old opinion.
If you look far and wide, you will probably not find anyone who disliked the pathetic 147 grain JHPs more than I did. Times have, however, changed.
The FBI's Winchester Q4364 and the slightly newer technology Winchester RA9B of Chicago and St. Louis, and the LAPD/LASD RA9T are just completely different than the 147 grain hollow point bullets of old. They give the required penetration to get deep to the vital organs, yet they expand reliably, even after the FBI's barrier tests.
I think the current 147 gr JHPs do not turn the 9mm into a 38 Special. I think, based upon street results in the aforementioned jurisdictions, that they turn the 9mm into a .40 or even a low end .45.
The beauty of this is that while 9mm has seriously come up in the stopping power world, that does not mean that current .40 and .45 have gone down.
Since most of us are home defenders, private citizens and the like, we are not obligated to carry what the FBI issues, or what St. Louis, Chicago, LAPD or LASD, or anyone else issues.
Thus, we have free choice to carry what gives us confidence. For me, I now (and for the first time in 40+ years) have confidence in the 9mm with the 147 grain RA9B and its non-bonded equivalent, RA9T, to "bet my life" on it. Given my long love affair with the 1911 and its 230 grain .45 ACP cartridge, that is saying something, as I was a big skeptic of the 9mm, but no more.
By the way, if you cannot get RA9B, the 9mm PDX-1 in 147 grain is the same thing, but packaged in 20 round boxes and priced higher.
As to the FBI contract, they just made an award for indefinite quantity, fixed price, indefinite delivery (read: "as much as they want") with a piggyback provision for about a dozen or more other federal agencies, for 9mm ammo. They are far along in phasing out the MP5 and its variants, so other than 9mm pistols, they don't have use for that kind of a huge 9mm ammo contract without something looming on the horizon. By the way, the RFP said the ammo had to work with the Glock 17, 19 and 26 and the SIG Sauer 226 and 228.
I think the fact that the 9mm now meets the post-Miami handgun ammo testing protocol, it is no longer an "interim" as it was back then, until they adopted something better (the 10mm). This time around, I think it is to be the primary issue. The FBI apparently believes the current ammo performance, together with higher qualification scores, less pistol breakage, faster repeat shots, easier training of new agent-trainees, higher magazine capacity, now makes the 9mm a viable option for primary pistol issue, unlike in 1986, when it just a stop-gap measure between Miami and the 10mm.
It is noted as well, that the Bureau Glocks have a bad habit of bending or breaking trigger pins and breaking locking blocks with the .40 caliber, and the 9mm in 147 grain, which is not a +P round, by the way, does not cause the same problems in the 9mm Glock pistols.
The 9mm is also lower cost. All of those factors taken together, along with the fact that larger cities have already switched back to 9mm, along with some other large agencies, and the fact that an awfully lot of smaller agencies do what the FBI does, I think we are going to see a big resurgence in the 9mm.
Some are predicting the .40 will eventually drop off in popularity. I think it already has. I can easily see that all of the distributors with which I deal have much more .40 ammo available than they do 9mm.
Will the .40 go the way of the 38 Super and the strange little .357 SIG? I don't know, but I would bet we are about to see a big comeback of the 9mm.