Case stretching/separation is/are caused by excessive headspace in a rifle's chamber. Commercial rifle chambers are built with tolerance specs defined by SAAMI. They can vary by about .010 in. If you get a rifle cut with new reamer, it could have more headspace (and other dimensions) than one cut with a well used reamer. And, the vagaries of the smith's chambering practices and measurements can add to the variances.
So, if you have a 'longer' chamber, a new factory round will stretch, but likely not dangerously. If you full length resize that case, you return it to listed SAAMI specs for that cartridge. Subsequent firings and FL resizing will exacerbate the stretching, eventually causing circumferential separation. The bright ring on case exterior I've found to be hard to evaluate. The noted paper clip method is pretty accurate, you can feel an inner groove while moving the clip down the inner case wall, albeit it takes a little practice to master. Sectioning a few cases will give you known references to help the learning curve.
Such stretching can be mitigated/minimized by using a neck sizing die. While some eschew this practice, and autoloaders often need FL sizing, it significantly reduces brass wear. Partial resizing with a FL die, can approximate neck sizing, but still moves part of the case.
I've experienced case stretching with a few rifles, factory and one custom AI chamber that appears to have been cut too long. I regularly only neck size most cases, save for range pickup brass. Obviously, new brass only needs neck sizing. The 2506AI chamber was likely cut too long. Both the first round (factory) and subsequent reloads showed stretching. I have figured out the problem and solutions, but that's another post.
Save to say, I have 7 firings on the 2506AI brass, with no apparent increase in stretching, checking visually and with the paper clip. I do lightly lube cases for fireforming, ostensibly a NO-NO, but the cases show no stretching and last well. Ackley describes it, and I do it, but I DON'T ADVISE IT for obvious reasons. You'll have to make that decision.
Biged's chart is interesting. I'd guess his gun does not have significant headspace. He didn't see failure for 7 firings. Ed, I'm curious to what you attribute the longevity of the lower listed cases? Brass hardness, wall thickness?
-West