Harper-. post 3 is going to win the prize unless you shot off of the Empire State Building.I like the 500 yard joke in post 2.
Ballistic chart shows a six foot drop for a 124gr 1000 fps bullet at 200 yards.
This is what bullet trajectory calculators are for guys. This is easy.
Plug in the numbers, push create chart, relatively good results. You don't have to guesstimate or change the OP's conditions. Bullets with known characteristics predictably fall to earth at certain distances. KISS.