I appreciate help from you all that's for sure because I sure was at a loss as to the cause. I will shoot some more rounds and I feel somewhat confident the Clay's rep nailed it. I hope he did.
If I get a squib or any problem I will immediately inspect that casing to determine possible cause. If there was no powder in it then the casing should look much cleaner. I still feel pretty sure I didn't skip the powder step.
Yes. Not crimping will cause problems. I can't imagine why Rainier would recommend such a thing. However, you typically run into insufficient crimp problems with slower powders.
For that reason, I still would not rule out a light charge.
Realize that I'm not suggesting you missed charging a case. I'm suggesting the powder 'bridged'. When that happens, it either doesn't fill the powder measure's cavity, or it doesn't completely drop out of the cavity and into the case. So while it appears you charged the case--and you can even look into it and see powder--there isn't enough.
The only way to guard against it is to weigh your first 50 or 100 consecutive charges. If it doesn't happen once in 100 charges, it's not particularly likely to happen.
Running an on-die measure designed for use with a turret or progressive press (like the Lee Auto-Disk) one a single-stage or on a turret in single-stage operation can exacerbate this problem. Or if you use, say, the Lee Micro-Adjustable Charge Bar, which at low charge volumes has a very bridge-friendly cavity.
Does that mean that Clays is a bad powder? No, it just means that you can't dispense it at such low charges with your particular measure.
Incidentally, the Auto-Disk and Auto-Disk Pro are both excellent products (the Pro is 100% worth it over the standard model). The Adjustable Charge Bar is very good at large charge volumes (think 9 or 10 grains of a midrange powder), not so much for light charges. I really wish they'd make a small-charge version.