Even considering the way information is controlled and the flow of news is managed there, don't you think they've lost enough men that average Russians are starting to realize the "special military operation" isn't going as planned?
The Russians have gone in
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Even considering the way information is controlled and the flow of news is managed there, don't you think they've lost enough men that average Russians are starting to realize the "special military operation" isn't going as planned?
bigwheelzip
Absent Comrade
Well, there's another fly-in-the-ointment clue that surfaced yesterday. A nationwide Russian defense industry mobilization is now in effect. All factory personnel time off is cancelled until further notice, with 24 hour operations and double-shifts mandated.
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Good essay on Ukrainian military strategy:
Opinions | Why Kyiv’s ‘thousand bee sting’ strategy is costing Russia dearly
Ukraine is making brilliant use of the "indirect approach" to warfare.
Opinion by Max Boot
https://wapo.st/3dz2PYk
Opinions | Why Kyiv’s ‘thousand bee sting’ strategy is costing Russia dearly
Ukraine is making brilliant use of the "indirect approach" to warfare.
Opinion by Max Boot
https://wapo.st/3dz2PYk
Very good article. Let's hope the Ukrainians continue to give the "Max Boot" to the Russians
venomballistics
Member
It's pretty much all they can do.
Russia can afford to roll scorched earth and break anything they want. Ukraine has to be surgical. The mess left over will be theirs to keep, win lose or draw. Saturation artillery might work, but only at the expense of becoming their own enemy
Looks like all that special ops training we helped provide is paying off.
venomballistics
Member
It's certainly given Ukraine a new pastime.
I'll define "payoff" as the liberation of Kherson however.
Winter might make that happen if black ops softened things enough
Courtesy of the Office of Defense Cooperation since 2014.
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Old Chinese method of “ death by 1000 cuts” is the same. This Ukrainian event is gotten to be a get your popcorn and beer/ sodas ready….
This article says Russians — civilians, I presume — are fleeing occupied Crimea for Russia. Getting a bit too hot, sounds like. 38,000 cars across the Crimea Bridge leading to the Russian mainland on Tuesday.
Russians are realising Crimea is ‘not a place for them’, says Zelenskiy | Crimea | The Guardian
Russians are realising Crimea is ‘not a place for them’, says Zelenskiy | Crimea | The Guardian
Protocall_Design
Member
They're probably singing "Crimea River" all the way back to Russia...
venomballistics
Member
That's a LOT of whistle blowers
Russian soldier exposes rot at core of Ukraine invasion
Another damning article from The Guardian UK.
‘I don’t see justice in this war’: Russian soldier exposes rot at core of Ukraine invasion
Exclusive: Pavel Filatyev has fled his homeland after publishing a 141-page account detailing his experiences on the frontline
Another damning article from The Guardian UK.
‘I don’t see justice in this war’: Russian soldier exposes rot at core of Ukraine invasion
Exclusive: Pavel Filatyev has fled his homeland after publishing a 141-page account detailing his experiences on the frontline
...“I am not afraid to fight in war. But I need to feel justice, to understand that what I’m doing is right. And I believe that this is all failing not only because the government has stolen everything, but because we, Russians, don’t feel that what we are doing is right.”
Two weeks ago, Filatyev went on to his VKontakte social media page and published a 141-page bombshell: a day-by-day description of how his paratrooper unit was sent to mainland Ukraine from Crimea, entered Kherson and captured the seaport, and dug in under heavy artillery fire for more than a month near Mykolaiv – and then how he eventually was wounded and evacuated from the conflict with an eye infection.
By then, he was convinced he had to expose the rot at the core of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. “We were sitting under artillery fire by Mykolaiv,” he said. “At that point I already thought that we’re just out here doing *******, what the (expletive) do we need this war for? And I really had this thought: ‘God, if I survive, then I’ll do everything that I can to stop this.’”...
and linked in the same article:Two weeks ago, Filatyev went on to his VKontakte social media page and published a 141-page bombshell: a day-by-day description of how his paratrooper unit was sent to mainland Ukraine from Crimea, entered Kherson and captured the seaport, and dug in under heavy artillery fire for more than a month near Mykolaiv – and then how he eventually was wounded and evacuated from the conflict with an eye infection.
By then, he was convinced he had to expose the rot at the core of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. “We were sitting under artillery fire by Mykolaiv,” he said. “At that point I already thought that we’re just out here doing *******, what the (expletive) do we need this war for? And I really had this thought: ‘God, if I survive, then I’ll do everything that I can to stop this.’”...
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Looking at a map I can guess what Gen. George Patton ,Stonewall Jackson or Erwin Rommel would do. Russians in Crimea will be cut off, IMHO this will be a huge event with ole Vlad and scary as to what extremes he will use.
Russia replaces Black Sea fleet chief after attacks in Crimea
Reuters: The apparent Ukrainian capability to strike deeper into Russian-occupied territory, either with some form of weapon or with sabotage, indicates a shift in the conflict
Story here.
Reuters: The apparent Ukrainian capability to strike deeper into Russian-occupied territory, either with some form of weapon or with sabotage, indicates a shift in the conflict
Story here.
"...On Wednesday, Russia’s RIA news agency cited sources as saying the commander of its Black Sea fleet, Igor Osipov, had been replaced with a new chief, Viktor Sokolov.
If confirmed, the move would mark one of the most prominent sackings of a military official so far in a war in which Russia has suffered heavy losses in men and equipment.
The Black Sea Fleet, which has a revered history in Russia, has suffered several humiliations since President Vladimir Putin launched the invasion of Ukraine...
In April, Ukraine struck its flagship, the Moskva, a huge cruiser, with Neptune missiles. It became the biggest warship to be sunk in combat for 40 years..."
If confirmed, the move would mark one of the most prominent sackings of a military official so far in a war in which Russia has suffered heavy losses in men and equipment.
The Black Sea Fleet, which has a revered history in Russia, has suffered several humiliations since President Vladimir Putin launched the invasion of Ukraine...
In April, Ukraine struck its flagship, the Moskva, a huge cruiser, with Neptune missiles. It became the biggest warship to be sunk in combat for 40 years..."
Der Verminator
US Veteran
That's by far the most important question in this dispute between neighbors.
It could escalate out of control easily with an unstable Putin in control.........especially if he has a terminal cancer.
venomballistics
Member
yeah ... I'd wait till cover of darkness when they feels its safe to flee and order up package both ends to maximize the drama in between.
Give some survivors more to talk about
A recent Yale study argues that Western media, misled by Putin's cherry-picked statistics, does not understand the dire state of the Russian economy:
...Since the invasion, the Kremlin’s economic releases have become increasingly cherry-picked, selectively tossing out unfavorable metrics while releasing only those that are more favorable. These Putin-selected statistics are then carelessly trumpeted across media and used by reams of well-meaning but careless experts in building out forecasts which are excessively, unrealistically favorable to the Kremlin...
...From our analysis, it becomes clear: business retreats and sanctions are catastrophically crippling the Russian economy. We tackle a wide range of common misperceptions – and shed light on what is actually going on inside Russia, including:
- Russia’s strategic positioning as a commodities exporter has irrevocably deteriorated...
- Despite some lingering leakiness, Russian imports have largely collapsed...
- Despite Putin’s delusions of self-sufficiency and import substitution, Russian domestic production has come to a complete standstill...
- As a result of the business retreat, Russia has lost companies representing ~40% of its GDP...
- Putin is resorting to patently unsustainable, dramatic fiscal and monetary intervention to smooth over these structural economic weaknesses...
- Russian domestic financial markets, as an indicator of both present conditions and future outlook, are the worst performing markets in the entire world this year...
...Defeatist headlines arguing that Russia’s economy has bounced back are simply not factual - the facts are that, by any metric and on any level, the Russian economy is reeling, and now is not the time to step on the brakes...
Business Retreats and Sanctions Are Crippling the Russian Economy by Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, Steven Tian, Franek Sokolowski, Michal Wyrebkowski, Mateusz Kasprowicz :: SSRN
...Since the invasion, the Kremlin’s economic releases have become increasingly cherry-picked, selectively tossing out unfavorable metrics while releasing only those that are more favorable. These Putin-selected statistics are then carelessly trumpeted across media and used by reams of well-meaning but careless experts in building out forecasts which are excessively, unrealistically favorable to the Kremlin...
...From our analysis, it becomes clear: business retreats and sanctions are catastrophically crippling the Russian economy. We tackle a wide range of common misperceptions – and shed light on what is actually going on inside Russia, including:
- Russia’s strategic positioning as a commodities exporter has irrevocably deteriorated...
- Despite some lingering leakiness, Russian imports have largely collapsed...
- Despite Putin’s delusions of self-sufficiency and import substitution, Russian domestic production has come to a complete standstill...
- As a result of the business retreat, Russia has lost companies representing ~40% of its GDP...
- Putin is resorting to patently unsustainable, dramatic fiscal and monetary intervention to smooth over these structural economic weaknesses...
- Russian domestic financial markets, as an indicator of both present conditions and future outlook, are the worst performing markets in the entire world this year...
...Defeatist headlines arguing that Russia’s economy has bounced back are simply not factual - the facts are that, by any metric and on any level, the Russian economy is reeling, and now is not the time to step on the brakes...
Business Retreats and Sanctions Are Crippling the Russian Economy by Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, Steven Tian, Franek Sokolowski, Michal Wyrebkowski, Mateusz Kasprowicz :: SSRN
venomballistics
Member
I'll take that with a grain of salt.
They have been in the global economy for a while, and like the feel i'm sure. But their roots remain.
While anecdotal, one can find Garage 54 on youtube.
The channel features Vlad, a Russian auto mechanic and his team of gearheads. You might see episodes where they cut Lada engines in half with angle grinders, weld them together, investing weeks of labor just to blow it up on a test drive. If this represents the determination of the Eastern European culture at large, Self sufficiency and raw will are their principal commodity. They will return to their roots and thrive given a time frame long enough for them to awake.
This conflict is on a deadline. Do not underestimate anyone involved
They have been in the global economy for a while, and like the feel i'm sure. But their roots remain.
While anecdotal, one can find Garage 54 on youtube.
The channel features Vlad, a Russian auto mechanic and his team of gearheads. You might see episodes where they cut Lada engines in half with angle grinders, weld them together, investing weeks of labor just to blow it up on a test drive. If this represents the determination of the Eastern European culture at large, Self sufficiency and raw will are their principal commodity. They will return to their roots and thrive given a time frame long enough for them to awake.
This conflict is on a deadline. Do not underestimate anyone involved
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FWIW, look at history and how countries economy result in war(s). China’s economy is slipping too. Somewhat concerning….
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